Alexander O'Sullivan vs Erik Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamAntonio Silva Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander O'SullivanErik Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander O'Sullivan51%
Erik Silva 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander O'Sullivan a 51% favorite over Erik Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.
Erik Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Erik Silva 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.