Alexander O'Sullivan vs Mackens Semerzier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamTeam Curran
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander O'SullivanMackens Semerzier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander O'Sullivan60%
Mackens Semerzier 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander O'Sullivan a 60% favorite over Mackens Semerzier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1578), separated by just 2 points.
Mackens Semerzier enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mackens Semerzier 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.