Alexander Treskin vs Jose Henrique Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'3"
-Reach79"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamNova Uniao MPBJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander TreskinJose Henrique Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Henrique Souza57%
Alexander Treskin 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Henrique Souza a 57% favorite over Alexander Treskin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jose Henrique Souza enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jose Henrique Souza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.