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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Khamzat Abaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach71"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamTeam Terranova ASBL

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Khamzat AbaevNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinKhamzat Abaev
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (17%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Abaev64%
Alexander Treskin 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 64% favorite over Alexander Treskin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.