Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Treskin vs Omar El Dafrawy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Raty TeamTeamSoma Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TreskinNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Omar El DafrawyNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander TreskinOmar El Dafrawy
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Treskin and Omar El Dafrawy within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Treskin enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Treskin finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Omar El Dafrawy 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.