Alexander Trevino vs Taylor Michels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-10-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Fighter MMA AcademyTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
Taylor Michels is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Alexander Trevino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1478
If they lose-14→ 1446
If they win+21→ 1519
If they lose-27→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander TrevinoTaylor Michels
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Michels72%
Alexander Trevino 28%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 72% favorite over Alexander Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Taylor Michels holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1460, a 38-point edge.
Alexander Trevino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Trevino finishes 89% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.