Alexandre Ferreira vs Nicollas Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
204 lbsWeight206 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPC Gurillas Fighter
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre FerreiraNicollas Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicollas Santos62%
Alexandre Ferreira 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicollas Santos a 62% favorite over Alexandre Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1600), separated by just 5 points.
Alexandre Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nicollas Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alexandre Ferreira finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Nicollas Santos 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.