Alexey Shurkevich vs Dalton Rosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"Reach75"
172 lbsWeight186 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexey ShurkevichDalton Rosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexey Shurkevich and Dalton Rosta within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1669), separated by just 5 points.
Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Dalton Rosta 45%.
Dalton Rosta carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.