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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Dan Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1683 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Dan MillerNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.67
Not available
Takedown accuracy
55%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.77

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichDan Miller
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (5%)
Submission
9 (64%)
6 (32%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Miller54%
Alexey Shurkevich 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Miller a 54% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1687), separated by just 1 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Dan Miller 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.