Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Michał Michalski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
76.4"Reach71"
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Entram Gym· 1679 avg Elo · 10 ratedTeamAnkos MMA Poznań

What's at stake

Michał Michalski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexis Miranda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis MirandaNow 1603
If they win+17→ 1620
If they lose-15→ 1588
Michał MichalskiNow 1626
If they win+15→ 1641
If they lose-17→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alexis MirandaMichał Michalski
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Michalski66%
Alexis Miranda 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Michalski a 66% favorite over Alexis Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Michał Michalski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1603, a 23-point edge.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Michał Michalski 67%.

Alexis Miranda carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.