Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Nicolas vs Blas Avena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-0-0Record8-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mahmoudi GymTeamMachado Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis NicolasNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Blas AvenaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.37
Not available
Takedown accuracy
80%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Alexis NicolasBlas Avena
1550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Nicolas58%
Blas Avena 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Nicolas a 58% favorite over Blas Avena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1527), separated by just 2 points.

Blas Avena 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.