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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Diego Brandao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record29-21-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach38,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Diversity teamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis TsarmantidisNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Diego BrandaoNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
68%
Not available
Takedown defense
81%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Alexis TsarmantidisDiego Brandao
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
16 (55%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (21%)
2 (29%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Tsarmantidis53%
Diego Brandao 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Tsarmantidis a 53% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Alexis Tsarmantidis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Diego Brandao 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.