AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Diversity teamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis TsarmantidisNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.96
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
Not available
Takedown defense
36%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Alexis TsarmantidisMakwan Amirkhani
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
2 (29%)
Submission
14 (70%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani55%
Alexis Tsarmantidis 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 55% favorite over Alexis Tsarmantidis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Alexis Tsarmantidis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.