Alfie Davis vs Drew Dober
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"Reach70″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisDrew Dober
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alfie Davis53%
Drew Dober 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alfie Davis a 53% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Dober's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1701), separated by just 3 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Drew Dober 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.