Alfie Davis vs Michael Dufort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamH2O MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisMichael Dufort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alfie Davis and Michael Dufort within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1698), separated by just 0 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Dufort enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dufort 94%.
Alfie Davis and Michael Dufort share 1 common opponent: Gadzhi Rabadanov.
Michael Dufort carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.