Ali Bagov vs Karlos Vemola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-13-0Record37-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69.7"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Karlos Vemola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ali Bagov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1750
If they lose-11→ 1726
If they win+11→ 1767
If they lose-13→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagovKarlos Vemola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Bagov65%
Karlos Vemola 35%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagov a 65% favorite over Karlos Vemola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karlos Vemola's way (47%).
Karlos Vemola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1737, a 19-point edge.
Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.