Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Bagov vs Shamil Abdulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Bagov
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Ali Bagov

“Hulk”

35-13-0MiddleweightACA

1737Good

Tale of the tape

35-13-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69.7"Reach-
172 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali BagovNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Shamil AbdulaevNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ali BagovShamil Abdulaev
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
24 (69%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (20%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Bagov52%
Shamil Abdulaev 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagov a 52% favorite over Shamil Abdulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1734), separated by just 3 points.

Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.