Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Gündüz vs Fran Luka Đurić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Gündüz
de

Ali Gündüz

“The Gorilla”

7-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1578 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1614 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali GündüzNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Fran Luka ĐurićNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Ali GündüzFran Luka Đurić
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (25%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Fran Luka Đurić56%
Ali Gündüz 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fran Luka Đurić a 56% favorite over Ali Gündüz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Gündüz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Fran Luka Đurić enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ali Gündüz finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Fran Luka Đurić 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.