Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Taleb vs Colby Thicknesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Swedish AthleticsTeamFreestyle Fighting Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali TalebNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Colby ThicknesseNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Ali TalebColby Thicknesse
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (25%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ali Taleb and Colby Thicknesse within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Ali Taleb enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ali Taleb finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Colby Thicknesse 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.