Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Cyrille Diabate

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record19-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
77.5"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamSnake Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Cyrille DiabateNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
TBD
Strike accuracy
72%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Alik LorenzCyrille Diabate
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (32%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Alik Lorenz72%
Cyrille Diabate 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 72% favorite over Cyrille Diabate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Cyrille Diabate enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Cyrille Diabate 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.