Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Devin Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record14-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77.5"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Devin ClarkNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Alik LorenzDevin Clark
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Alik Lorenz70%
Devin Clark 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 70% favorite over Devin Clark in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devin Clark's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Devin Clark 36%.

Alik Lorenz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.