Alik Lorenz vs John Allan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77.5"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA LabTeamChute Boxe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alik LorenzJohn Allan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alik Lorenz63%
John Allan 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alik Lorenz a 63% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Allan 94%.
Alik Lorenz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.