Combat Edge Intelligence

Alik Lorenz vs Vladimir Vasilyev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight187 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alik LorenzNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Vladimir VasilyevNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alik LorenzVladimir Vasilyev
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (13%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Vasilyev61%
Alik Lorenz 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 61% favorite over Alik Lorenz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1641), separated by just 3 points.

Alik Lorenz enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alik Lorenz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.

Alik Lorenz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.