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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Suleymanov vs Melquizael Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72.8"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan SuleymanovNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Melquizael CostaNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2
Not available
Takedown accuracy
41%
Not available
Takedown defense
59%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Alikhan SuleymanovMelquizael Costa
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
9 (35%)
11 (61%)
Submission
8 (31%)
5 (28%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Melquizael Costa64%
Alikhan Suleymanov 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 64% favorite over Alikhan Suleymanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.

Alikhan Suleymanov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.

Alikhan Suleymanov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.