Combat Edge Intelligence

Alikhan Vakhaev vs Dan Christison

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record20-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'8"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight270 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alikhan VakhaevNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Dan ChristisonNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Alikhan VakhaevDan Christison
16501700200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
1 (7%)
Submission
12 (60%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev72%
Dan Christison 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 72% favorite over Dan Christison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1705), separated by just 3 points.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dan Christison enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alikhan Vakhaev finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Dan Christison 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.