Combat Edge Intelligence

Alistair Overeem vs Josh Hokit

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Hokit
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Josh Hokit

“The Incredible Hok”

10-0-0HeavyweightUFC

1756Great

Tale of the tape

47-19-0Record10-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
256 lbsWeight246 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alistair OvereemNow 1760
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
Josh HokitNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1729 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
6.07
64%
Strike accuracy
67%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.83
57%
Strike defense
67%
1.42
Takedown avg.
8.74
56%
Takedown accuracy
47%
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.83
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alistair OvereemJosh Hokit
1600170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

25 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
17 (36%)
Submission
3 (30%)
5 (11%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Hokit73%
Alistair Overeem 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Hokit a 73% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alistair Overeem's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1756), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Hokit enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alistair Overeem finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Josh Hokit 90%.

Alistair Overeem and Josh Hokit share 1 common opponent: Curtis Blaydes.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2018
Curtis Blaydes
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026