Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Begosso vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-1Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'10"
67.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamSpartakus Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allan BegossoNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Roman PaulusNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
34%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
2
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Allan BegossoRoman Paulus
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Paulus76%
Allan Begosso 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 76% favorite over Allan Begosso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allan Begosso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.

Allan Begosso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Allan Begosso finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.