Allan Goes vs Mahamed Aly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-2Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Goes Martial ArtsTeamOne Way Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Allan GoesMahamed Aly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mahamed Aly70%
Allan Goes 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 70% favorite over Allan Goes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1596), separated by just 4 points.
Allan Goes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.