Allen Holloway vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Michigan MMA AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Allen HollowayTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Allen Holloway54%
Takashi Sato 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Allen Holloway a 54% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takashi Sato's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.
Allen Holloway enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Allen Holloway finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.