Combat Edge Intelligence

Almir Augusto vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Almir AugustoNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Vince MoralesNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Almir AugustoVince Morales
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
1 (25%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Almir Augusto71%
Vince Morales 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Almir Augusto a 71% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vince Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Almir Augusto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Almir Augusto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.