Combat Edge Intelligence

Altynbek Mamashov vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-1Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
187 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ataman FCTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Altynbek MamashovNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Roman KopylovNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.08
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
89%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Altynbek MamashovRoman Kopylov
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
10 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (5%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Kopylov62%
Altynbek Mamashov 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 62% favorite over Altynbek Mamashov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Altynbek Mamashov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1697), separated by just 0 points.

Altynbek Mamashov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.