Amanda Lemos vs Livinha Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-1Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamTeam Maximo
What's at stake
Amanda Lemos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Livinha Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda LemosLivinha Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Amanda Lemos66%
Livinha Souza 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Lemos a 66% favorite over Livinha Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Amanda Lemos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1652, a 18-point edge.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.
Amanda Lemos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.