Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Rafaela vs Océane Samson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record3-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
-Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Mascote TeamTeamRing Side Gym

What's at stake

Océane Samson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Amanda Rafaela carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda RafaelaNow 1482
If they win+29→ 1511
If they lose-19→ 1463
Océane SamsonNow 1550
If they win+19→ 1569
If they lose-29→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Amanda RafaelaOcéane Samson
150015502026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Océane Samson70%
Amanda Rafaela 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Océane Samson a 70% favorite over Amanda Rafaela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Océane Samson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1550 to 1482, a 68-point edge.

Océane Samson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.