Combat Edge Intelligence

Ananias Mulumba vs Apollo Gomes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Apollo Gomes
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Apollo Gomes

“Deus da Guerra”

12-2-0FeatherweightWOW

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70.5"Reach70.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEvolucao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ananias MulumbaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Apollo GomesNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ananias MulumbaApollo Gomes
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ananias Mulumba and Apollo Gomes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Apollo Gomes enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Apollo Gomes 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.