Combat Edge Intelligence

Anas Nfaou vs Nathan Trepagnier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anas Nfaou
ma

Anas Nfaou

“The Moroccan Brown Wolf”

3-2-0LightweightCWFC

1520Average

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
-Reach67"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Submission Factory MMATeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

Anas Nfaou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Nathan Trepagnier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anas NfaouNow 1520
If they win+23→ 1543
If they lose-25→ 1495
Nathan TrepagnierNow 1505
If they win+17→ 1522
If they lose-15→ 1490

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anas NfaouNathan Trepagnier
150015502026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Anas Nfaou and Nathan Trepagnier within a point of even.

Anas Nfaou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1520 to 1505, a 15-point edge.

Anas Nfaou finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Trepagnier 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.