Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson Soares vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
CT VasconcelosTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson SoaresNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Shane CampbellNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.36
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
82%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anderson SoaresShane Campbell
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
3 (20%)
Submission
6 (25%)
2 (13%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell59%
Anderson Soares 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 59% favorite over Anderson Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Anderson Soares enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Anderson Soares finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.