Andre Fialho vs Che Mills
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record16-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre FialhoChe Mills
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Fialho72%
Che Mills 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Fialho a 72% favorite over Che Mills in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Che Mills's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1555), separated by just 2 points.
Andre Fialho enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Che Mills 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.