Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Pederneiras vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-2Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre PederneirasNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andre PederneirasMaiwand Hamras
150015501999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras53%
Andre Pederneiras 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 53% favorite over Andre Pederneiras in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Pederneiras's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1509), separated by just 7 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.