Andre Winner vs Ednilson Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-13-2Record14-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamPeso Pesado Gold Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre WinnerEdnilson Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ednilson Santos70%
Andre Winner 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ednilson Santos a 70% favorite over Andre Winner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Winner's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1565), separated by just 9 points.
Andre Winner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andre Winner finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Ednilson Santos 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.