Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Julian Marquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julian Marquez
us

Julian Marquez

“The Cuban Missile Crisis”

9-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach72"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Julian MarquezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.06
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
53%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.57

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikJulian Marquez
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (33%)
6 (46%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrej Kalašnik57%
Julian Marquez 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 57% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1576), separated by just 8 points.

Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.