Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Bruno Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record19-5-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1620 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Bruno SantosNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.18
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikBruno Santos
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (46%)
Decision
17 (89%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrej Kalašnik53%
Bruno Santos 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 53% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1576), separated by just 8 points.

Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Santos 11%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.