Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Martinez vs Cristiano Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
TBDTeamPortugal Top Team

What's at stake

Andrew Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew MartinezNow 1497
If they win+22→ 1519
If they lose-26→ 1471
Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+26→ 1500
If they lose-22→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1462 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrew MartinezCristiano Oliveira
150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira63%
Andrew Martinez 37%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 63% favorite over Andrew Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrew Martinez's way (47%).

Andrew Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1474, a 23-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.