Andrew Sanchez vs Anthony Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record38-22-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Anthony Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrew Sanchez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1582
If they win+9→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Smith59%
Andrew Sanchez 41%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Smith a 59% favorite over Andrew Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Anthony Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1594, a 80-point edge.
Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Smith 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.