Andy Ogle vs Lance Lawrence
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andy OgleLance Lawrence
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Lawrence53%
Andy Ogle 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 53% favorite over Andy Ogle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andy Ogle's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.
Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andy Ogle finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Lance Lawrence 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.