Angel Alvarez vs James Llontop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
69"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam FFC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angel AlvarezJames Llontop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Angel Alvarez and James Llontop within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1615), separated by just 3 points.
Angel Alvarez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.
James Llontop carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.