Combat Edge Intelligence

Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo vs Connor Matthews

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
IndependentTeamLakeville MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anistavio Medeiros de FigueiredoNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Connor MatthewsNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
5.08
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.25
48%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
3.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Anistavio Medeiros de FigueiredoConnor Matthews
1550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
16 (84%)
Submission
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo55%
Connor Matthews 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo a 55% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Connor Matthews 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.