Anthony Figueroa vs Evan Elder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Antdawgs MMATeamNick Diaz Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony FigueroaEvan Elder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Figueroa55%
Evan Elder 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Figueroa a 55% favorite over Evan Elder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Elder's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.
Anthony Figueroa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anthony Figueroa finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Evan Elder 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.