Anthony Joshua vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-4-0Record14-6-1
heavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'0"
82"Reach-
237 lbsWeight240 lbs
BXR GymTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter66%
Anthony Joshua 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 66% favorite over Anthony Joshua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1509), separated by just 9 points.
Anthony Joshua finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.