Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoine Chaput vs Francisco Albano Barrio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
-Reach67.7"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team 360 MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoine ChaputNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Francisco Albano BarrioNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Antoine ChaputFrancisco Albano Barrio
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (43%)
Submission
9 (56%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Albano Barrio59%
Antoine Chaput 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Albano Barrio a 59% favorite over Antoine Chaput in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Albano Barrio 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.