Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoine Chaput vs Zaur Gadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record4-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoine ChaputNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Zaur GadzhievNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Antoine ChaputZaur Gadzhiev
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (43%)
Submission
3 (75%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoine Chaput53%
Zaur Gadzhiev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoine Chaput a 53% favorite over Zaur Gadzhiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zaur Gadzhiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Zaur Gadzhiev 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.